Here’s an update that I probably shouldn’t share but sometimes I just can’t help myself.  In a poll internal to the state GOP (and not one you’ll see on RealClearPolitics!) John McCain is WINNING EVERY COUNTY IN PENNSYLVANIA but three.  Those three are the ones you would expect them to be–the Pittsburgh and Philly areas, and one other.   The state is RED, but for the cities…and this includes two counties that I’m extremely familiar with where Dems outnumber Republicans by an insane margin.

And it’s not even OCTOBER yet.  Remember, Republicans ALWAYS close the gap in the last few weeks.

I can barely contain myself.   🙂

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You know, if John McCain should lose this election (he won’t, but if hypothetically he did) he could immediately begin a new career as a chess player.  These moves by the McCain campaign get more and more brilliant by the minute.  It is to the point where even the Republicans don’t know what is coming next.  Now if we’re all that far off-balance, how teeter-tottery do the Obamabots have to be?

Suspending the campaign and the debate in order to return to Washington to hammer out this bailout deal–that’s a stroke of guts and genius that, frankly, I’m not sure another person in American could have made.  The move does five distinct, and incredibly important, things:

First, and most importantly, it puts Barack Obama squarely in a corner from which he has no good escape.  THERE IS NOTHING BARACK OBAMA CAN DO AT THIS POINT THAT DOES NOT IN SOME WAY UNDERMINE HIM.  His options are limited.  He can ignore McCain’s call for his own return to Washington, in which case he looks like an opportunist who is only interested in his own political future, not the welfare of the country.   He can’t take this option without whining about McCain and the move, which will make him look even more weak.  He’s already pretty much a pansy and this would just make that picture all the more vivid.  The only other thing he can do is to suspend his own campaign and join McCain, in which case he’s clearly stepping to John McCain’s tune; this assuredly paints Obama as a follower and not a leader at all.  Additionally, with all the recent talk about racial undertones, any agreement to join McCain in Washington would clearly throw Obama into a “yassir, Mr. McCain” light and that cannot be in any way good for The Annointed One.  There is no tenable position in this for Obama, and his campaign knows it.

The second thing that’s so brilliant about this is it shoves the whole bailout issue right back in the face of Congressional Democrats who were trying to play politics with it.  They made clear that they would not support any bailout unless John McCain agreed to it also.  This was clearly an attempt to paint McCain as a weakling who had to step to THEIR tune, as well as giving themselves an out if things failed–“well, McCain was in favor of it too!”.  By stepping up to the plate and calling their bluff, McCain has clearly dictated the terms of the issue and has said, in effect, “bring it on”.  By taking this bold move, McCain is now setting the agenda, setting the conditions, and setting the timetable.  If this doesn’t look Presidential, I don’t know what does.  More importantly, it throws the blame for any inactivity back SQUARELY onto the do-nothing Congress, who are already roundly disliked nationwide.   This will raise McCain’s political stock significantly, but it will also raise the GOP stock across the board.

Third, this alters the headlines away from the “lead” that Barack Obama and his in-the-bag press surrogates are trying to claim he’s building.  I’m going to say this again, and repeat it until November 5–BARACK OBAMA IS LOSING THIS ELECTION–but the press is going to come out and say that he’s opening up a wide gap now and that McCain is finished, in the hopes that GOP spirits will be dashed and Republicans won’t come out to vote.  By making this move now, at the same time this “widening lead” chorus is entering the choir loft, attention is diverted toward McCain and puts him back in the spotlight.  The “widening lead” issue will be a minor story which will last for a couple of days, but will disappear as McCain and his surrogates build the case of President McCain and his Economic Strategy.  It’s an amazing political move, shrewdly executed, at exactly the right time.

Fourth, this throws the Obama camp into a message mess.  What exactly do they say now?  How do they spin this?  How does this affect Obama’s debate prep?  What do they prepare for?  When do they even get to debate?  Once again John McCain is putting the Obama camp on the defensive, making them answer rather than ask the questions.  This always throws Obama, who absolutely cannot think on his feet, and Biden, who absolutely can’t open his mouth without saying something colossally stupid, completely to the wind.  It’s going to be fun to watch as they struggle for footing again.

And lastly, it’s going to give McCain the opening he’s been wanting all along.  HERE’S WHAT’S GOING TO HAPPEN…the ENTIRE Obama nation is going to cry “coward” toward John McCain.  They’re going to claim McCain is afraid to debate Obama (which even those dolts should know is patently absurd), and EVEN OBAMA’S OWN PEOPLE are going to be screaming for the two candidates to square off.  Well, John McCain has been screaming for this himself for months, and Barack Obama has been denying him.  Now, with all sides clamoring for it, John McCain will call Obama out–and this time the whiney little loser will have no choice…he’ll have to accept.  Point McCain, who again gets to set the terms and have Barack Obama stepping to a tune John the Warrior is calling.  Remember, YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST…that is absolutely what is going to happen.

This is the shrewdest move any politician has ever tried, to my recollection.  It’s gutsy, calculated, good for the country and more importantly good for McCain.  There’s only one part of this that works against him, and that is that the American people will be disappointed there won’t be a “cage match” this Friday.  We’ve all been looking forward to it, and at first we’re going to be a little upset–BUT THAT UPSET WON’T LAST FOR LONG because you can be certain the McCain team has a debate planned.  It may even occur on Friday!  The thing is, it’s going to occur on John McCain’s terms, and there’s not a damned thing Barack Obama can do about it now.  BRILLIANT, absolutely brilliant.

If there were no news, how many newspapers do you suppose would sell each day?  If there was nothing with which to be interested, no scandals, no flaps, no gaffes or missteps, how much viewership would CNN or MSNBC have?  If foregone conclusions were actually foregone, how much attention would be paid to “60 Minutes” or “Meet the Press”?  If there was no drama, how much advertising do you suppose would be sold, and how much do you think they could get for it?

There is a foregone conclusion that, if you look closely enough and you know what you’re looking at, should be easy enough for even a novice to spot.  This conclusion is supported in other places than the public media (which I’ll get to in a moment) but you really don’t need to look any further than your local newspaper to know the truth of exactly what I’m about to tell you.  Here’s the secret…

Assuming all the players remain the same, Barack Obama cannot win in November.

This is not conjecture; it’s common sense and, more importantly, there is “private knowledge” that does not get released to the news media that supports this.  In Pennsylvania, for instance, John McCain is polling ahead of Barack Obama in counties that have essentially never been competitive for Republicans even during the Reagan years.  This news comes from what is known as “internal polls”.  You’ll never get to see those unless you’re close to the campaign or you’re pretty intimate with party big-wigs (which, as it happens, I am).  The polls you DO get to see are as much about showmanship as anything; Scott Rasumussen gets paid a hefty sum for his polls, to be sure, but he’s paid quite a bit for his appearances on television too.  If there was no “news”, if there was no “competition”, how much work do you suppose he’d get?

I’m not saying there is no truth to what you see reported on RealClearPolitics.com–there is some.  However, it is exceedingly obvious, particularly in this campaign, that the press has an agenda that they are pushing that includes getting Barack Obama elected at all costs.  Part of the reason for this is their declining revenues and circulation numbers–and the biggest reason those numbers are declining is because America has become aware and grown tired of their incredible bias in favor of the Left.  Much of America now turns to conservative talk radio for a bit of balance (Rush Limbaugh has far more influence on America than the New York Times, L. A. Times and Washington Post combined) and to Fox News for something resembling “fair and balanced”.  You’ll notice that Fox News is watched significantly more than CNN and MSNBC–again, why do you think that is?  The left-leaning press has only one shot of taking those competitors out and returning to their monopoly on the news–it’s called the “fairness doctrine” (a misnomer if ever there was one) which is a law designed to require conservative talk radio stations to air liberal views.  That piece of legislation will not see the light of day unless a Liberal is elected President, and he’s given a Liberal congress to work with, which is one of the reasons the press is so in-the-bag for Barack Obama.

Now let me get back around to the reason for this post.  It’s fairly well known in “private” circles that Barack Obama can’t win in November unless some major radical move is made.  For obvious reasons this is not reported in public BUT, if you look closely enough, you can see it for yourself.  Here’s what you need to look for–editorials that make excuses for Obama’s loss, or that “prepare” you for it.  My favorite of these is the “if Obama loses it will be because of his race”–have you seen any of those around lately?  While his race is certainly a major factor in this contest (and it will definitely cost him severely), it really doesn’t matter whether it’s race, women or lipstick on a pig…if you see the press giving excuses for why he “might” lose, HE HAS LOST.  Remember, this was an election that the Republicans couldn’t possibly win.  Democrats were supposed to elect a President and significantly increase their presence in both houses of Congress.  Have you seen any excuses for the congressional swing yet?  You will.  Remember, when you’re digesting all of this and thinking it through…exactly how many articles would you read by ANYONE, liberal or conservative, if this race was not a race?  The media, the pundits and the pollsters all have a vested interest in maintaining the appearance of a questionable outcome.  Trust me–this race is not even half as compeititive as they would have you believe.

There are two major reasons why Obama can’t win as things stand now.  The first, it has been and will continue to be correctly pointed out, is that he’s Black.  I’ll be blasted as a racist for stating the truth, but truth it is and there’s no getting around it.  I work alongside lifelong Democrats who have never voted for a Republican in their lives; they are not only voting McCain, but they’re helping with the campaign!  Privately a plurality of them tell me that race is the reason.  Simple fact, simple truth, AND I LIVE IN AN EXCEEDINGLY LIBERAL AND “ENLIGHTENED” AREA.  If this is the sentiment here, what is it like in Alabama?

The second reason Obama can’t win is he will not get the Women’s vote.  Younger, more easily duped women perhaps–but the majority (and believe me, it’s a VAST majority) will be voting McCain this year.  Again, polling numbers (both public and private) support this.  Without the female vote in this country, no candidate has much of a chance.  Given the huge numbers of women moving away from Obama, he would be done for no matter what his color.  The Democrats cost themselves the White House when they made Barack Obama their candidate; Barack Obama removed any chance he had WHATSOEVER when he failed to tap Hillary Clinton as his running mate.

Which brings me to the last thing I should mention–the only chance Obama DOES have (and that window is closing rapidly).  If the Obama campaign drops Joe Biden (it will be some mysterious “illness” or somesuch) and brings Hillary on for VP, he could possibly turn things around.  I don’t think it will be enough, personally, but he’ll get back a lot of the vote in places like Pennsylvania.  ADDING HILLARY CLINTON TO THE TICKET IS THE ONLY CHANCE OF WINNING THAT BARACK OBAMA HAS.  If he waits much more than another week or two, even that chance is gone.  I say he has until the second debate, tops.

This is where the public polls are so powerful.  Frankly, the only people who follow those things at this stage of the game are the true “political junkies”…folks like me who wake out of a dead sleep to visions of RCP and Politico articles and blog posts.  AS LONG AS THOSE PUBLIC POLLS ARE RUNNING IN FAVOR OF OBAMA, THERE WON’T BE A CRY FROM THE JUNKIE-PUBLIC TO EXCOMMUNICATE BIDEN AND ADD HILLARY…and as long as that call is not made, Obama can’t really do that.  So long as Barry is up in the polls, he’s all but stuck with his choice…which is why it is SO IMPORTANT that McCain STAY BEHIND in the public polls.  I wake up every day PRAYING to see that Obama is up by 2-5 points.  That makes my morning.

So long as he is, I’ll be celebrating a McCain victory in November.

Abe Greenwald today contends that John McCain has squandered the lead he developed after an exceedingly successful Republican convention, and he did it by slipping into slime-ball politics fresh off a clean-and-correct performance that got him to this point.

I couldn’t agree more.

Here’s Greenwald’s complete commentary.

Here’s the response I posted in comment to the story:

“You’re right. I don’t mind if McCain wants to come out tough and hard–this is a fight, after all, and it’s a fight with an opponent who plays dirty even by political standards. However, what will, in the end, win the day here is the maturity and wisdom of John McCain over the disingenuous pandering and street-thuggery of the amateur he’s facing in this election.

The simple fact is that for the Maverick image to stick, McCain has to be above the slime-ball tactics. He’s got to be tough but fair, direct but factual, and he can’t skirt the fringes of truth (as his campaign did with the “kindergarten” ad). The content of his advertising has to be more than just “true”…it has to be “legitimate”.

Claiming that the reason he’s now trailing in the polls is that he’s facing a hostile media, while (again) being true, is beside the point. THESE ARE THE RULES BY WHICH HE IS REQUIRED TO PLAY. All the whining in the world isn’t going to change his press coverage, and will only likely drive the press even further into the bag for Obama. McCain has to accept that this is the situation with which he’s presented, and find a reasonable way to succeed in spite of it, not fail because of it.

John McCain is never going to get the vote of the left, and he’s never going to lose the vote of the right. He must hold himself up, from this point forward, as a shining beacon to the MIDDLE GROUND. The fact is the middle doesn’t trust Barack Obama and they frankly don’t like him all that much. If McCain gets into the mud to scrap with him, the only thing they’ll have to choose from is two of a kind–that’s a battle Obama wins in this election cycle.

Besides, McCain has enough of us doing the “dirty” work for him–it’s time he removed himself from the hog pen.”

It should be noted here that unlike those who live and die with the polls (and are now wringing their hands that McCain has snatched defeat from the jaws of victory), I have absolutely no doubt who our next President is going to be, and his name ain’t Obama. Even given the general stupidity of a plurality of the American electorate (who, somehow, are registered Democrat), the fact is nobody is going to buy into this guy once that curtain closes. He’ll get the whacko leftists, but he’s going to lose the center and he had no chance whatsoever with anyone to the right of center because, let’s face it, he’s a fricken’ Commie. No real American is going to vote for Barack Obama, so McCain supporters can stop worrying. Still, McCain needs to REASSURE the middle, and those true Americans, that they’re not buying “more of the same”, as Obama would like to paint McCain. They want a Maverick, he needs to be that to them. WE WANT A MAVERICK–and we expect one now. It’s time for McCain to regain his horse and climb back aboard, find that high road and ride it to Washington…and send this Socialist opportunist back to Chicago where thugs and liars belong.

Laughable columnist E. J. Dionne offers this preposterous notion regarding John McCain and the Freddie/Fannie situation:

READ THE ARTICLE HERE

Here was my response to the article:

“More tripe from the in-the-bag Washington Post. E. J. Dionne wants to spout that a “little more regulation” could have averted this mess, without bothering to mention that it was precisely a “little more regulation” that got us IN this mess in the first place. Had the policies of Bill Clinton (you know, that DEMOCRAT who somehow gets credit for a good economy when, in fact, his thinly-disguised Carteresque policies are only just now coming to the fore) not REQUIRED Freddie and Fannie to issue a certain percentage of loans to exceedingly sub-prime consumers in “underserved” neighborhoods, the “crisis” we’re now witness to would be no crisis at all.

Further, Dionne posits that when things go awry in the market it is “always the federal government that has to step in”.

HOGWASH.

It is always the federal government that CHOOSES to step in, because minding other people’s business is what Washington DOES–and it certainly shouldn’t. Frankly, if government were run correctly–that is to say, exactly the OPPOSITE of how Dionne and other Liberals would do it–these overblown agencies would, firstly, not exist (certainly not in their current overburdened form) and secondly, would be allowed to fail JUST LIKE ANY OTHER POORLY-RUN BUSINESS. And when consumers who signed contracts on property they could not pay for suddenly can’t pay, they too can go belly-up FOR THEIR OWN POOR DECISIONS. It is the government’s responsibility to protect us from forces outside of our control, NOT FROM OUR OWN MISTAKES.

Dionne is also disingeniuous in that this blather doesn’t point out who has most gained from Freddie and Fannie. BARACK OBAMA is the second-most financial beneficiary of the mismanagement of Freddie/Fannie among all congressmen. Somehow that fact eludes all these liberal writers who want to lay the blame for any ill on those who actually work and earn money. The liberal “elite” in this nation want to claim they are the representatives of the hard working American, when in reality they just wish to ROB the hard-working so that they can give to those who do nothing at all. This article is just more claptrap from a liberal establishment hell-bent on pushing Socialism down the throats of an American populace they hope will be too lazy to dig into the issues and find the REAL culprits.

Lastly, the hypocricy of Dionne is staggering. Obama’s camp cries foul over advertisements which are absolutely true, and Dionne joins the chorus. Who is distracting from the real issues? Obama has been propped up as a celebrity from day one, yet the Dems cry foul when McCain calls attention to his status. Obama has yet to be vetted in any meaningful way, yet the Dems and their in-the-bag buddies in the Liberal media complain when they feel McCain’s VICE Presidential nominee wasn’t examined closely enough. THEN they do everything in their power to dig up (or make up) stories about Sarah Palin in an attempt to discredit her (you know, things like the book-banning issue which NEVER HAPPENED), and then they complain that McCain and Company are trying to “distract” the voters when they call Obama and his cronies on the carpet for their lack of character and responsibility. It would be laughable except that these people might actually influence voters with their duplicitious messages. THAT would be criminal.

If Barack Obama is so interested in issues, HE SHOULD ACCEPT MCCAIN’S MANY OFFERS TO DEBATE one-on-one, with the American people sitting in judgement. He cannot do this because, like E. J. Dionne’s article, there is nothing of substance and too little reality with regard to anything he has to offer.”

Here’s my response to the despicable blatherings of Richard Cohen who is trying to reach a new low (what, exactly, is lower than the position that Cohen regularly occupies?  Whale shit?  Magma?) by calling John McCain a traitor.  This contemptible bastard needs to be sanctioned by his editors and the only way something like that can happen is if enough people contact the Washington Post and make their complaints heard.

HERE IS THE ARTICLE

Here’s my response:

“Cohen, you’re a stooge and you, personally, are far more “liar” than John McCain could ever be. You know there is no “untruth” about what was run in those advertisements. Just because you don’t like the truth of them, or you don’t like that the truth of those ads masks whatever “good” might be part and parcel of the content, doesn’t make them untrue and you know it.

The world knows you’re a leftist blowhard, but you’re beginning to enter dangerous ground. When you characterize one of the few remaining genuine American heroes as “treasonous” you yourself are a traitor in the eyes of many of us–you know, the hometown Americans who actually still give a damn about this country. That you’ve “given up on the military” is no surprise, ignoring the fact that the men and women in uniform are the ones who have bought the very freedom you flaunt and abuse, and the ones who secure for you that freedom on a daily basis. Using the freedoms OTHERS HAVE PURCHASED FOR YOU as a pulpit from which to call one of them treasonous is, I would have thought, beneath even you (and getting “beneath you” is pretty bloody difficult). Whereas, though, I once looked at you with disdain, I am now seething with contempt. Rest assured that the more you play so loosely with words like “treason”, the more your stock is going to fall among TRUE Americans, to the point you may find yourself judged by your very own verbage.

You are despicable, and your supporters no better. YOU are the traitor, Richard Cohen–you and those who would follow you.”

The Messiah is becoming human, so much so that even in the state of New York, where Obama has all but been granted a win already, polls show him slipping into a dead heat with John McCain.

The electoral map is really beginning to take on an eerie resemblance to one I remember seeing in 1980, and again in 1984.  Be afraid, Democrats…be very afraid.

FULL STORY HERE